<![CDATA[Working the Count - Projections]]>Tue, 17 Nov 2015 05:30:41 -0800Weebly<![CDATA[Jed Lowrie]]>Tue, 16 Dec 2014 00:37:43 GMThttp://workingthecount.weebly.com/projections/jed-lowrieJed Lowrie has signed with the Astros for the next three years. He has a very underestimated bat and is looking to bounce back from a slightly down year in 2014 in which he earned 1.8 oWAR less than half of his 2013 oWAR of 4.4.
Lowrie is projected to earn a 7.7 oWAr over the next three years with the Astros. at $23 million total Lowrie will earn $3 million per win above replacement. Lowrie is a bargain infielder for the lowest budget team in the majors that has to figure out how to field a respectable team with about a third of the average $ per team.
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<![CDATA[Melky Cabrera]]>Sun, 14 Dec 2014 19:43:57 GMThttp://workingthecount.weebly.com/projections/melky-cabreraMelky Cabrera has signed with the White Sox to a three year contract on which he will earn an average of $14-14.5 million a year. In average annual value this is about equal to Nelson Cruz for biggest outfield contract signing this offseason. Will Melky Cabrera be worth the money the White Sox now owe him?
Melky Cabrera is projected to average 2.8 WAR for the next three years and will be paid about $5 million per WAR which is just slightly better than an average deal.This is by no means an incredible deal with huge benefits, but Melky will earn his money's worth in Chicago.
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<![CDATA[Ervin Santana, Francisco Liriano]]>Thu, 11 Dec 2014 23:41:54 GMThttp://workingthecount.weebly.com/projections/ervin-santana-francisco-lirianoErvin Santana and Francisco Liriano have both recently signed contract. Santana will join the Minnesota Twins on a four year $54 million dollar deal, a $13.5 million average per year. Francisco Liriano has a three year $39 million dollar deal a $13 million average. Both are similar righties with up and down careers and earned very similar dollar averages in the offseason. They are also very similar in age, so with all these similarities I made their projections together.
These two players have an unmistakably similar career path, however Ervin Santana who got 1 more year plus an option is actually worse. Santana will be earning $8.3 million per WAR point, and Liriano will be earning a substantially lower $7.2 million per WAR point. In conclusion although these deals look similar The Pirates are getting a better deal with Liriano.
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<![CDATA[Rick Porcello]]>Thu, 11 Dec 2014 22:57:57 GMThttp://workingthecount.weebly.com/projections/rick-porcello
Rick Porcello was traded to the Red Sox today for Yoenis Cespedes, and two minor leaguers. People looking at this trade may see the Red Sox desperately trying to lessen their surplus of outfielders, and settling for an unfair trade, but this is not the case. Rick Porcello is in fact a top notch pitcher. Below is the projection showing his bright future.
This graph shows Porcello will remain in the top 50 pitchers for the next 12 years peaking at about 4.2+. Porcello's future is bright and the Red Sox may be able to sign an extension with him putting him in the top end of their rotation for many years to come.
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